What to watch
Producer price index: PPI data for June will be released on Friday in the US by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data measures the average change over time in the prices received by US producers for the products and services they provide. Month-over-month and year-over-year data will be released, with economists anticipating an increase versus May but a drop compared to June 2019. PPI provides a different perspective on inflation to the consumer price index, as it shows the cost of goods and services from the perspective of the industries that produce them, rather than consumers. The index is often used to underpin long-term contracts to supply goods, such as components for manufacturing.
Presidential election: Thursday was a significant day in the race for the presidency. The US Supreme Court ruled that the President’s financial records and tax returns could be accessed by New York prosecutors, but crucially in another ruling the court put a temporary block on a similar request from Congress. What that means is the public release of his tax returns may not happen between now and the election, per the FT, potentially helping avoid another major public controversy. Trump has already taken to social media to vent his frustration at the ruling, claiming he is being harassed – despite his own two nominees to the Supreme Court siding against him. Investors are paying close attention to the presidential race, as Trump and Biden represent two very different outcomes for corporate tax rates and regulation.
Crypto corner: Is Bitcoin price tracking the S&P 500?
New statistics suggest the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 US equity index are approaching all-time highs.
Between March and May this year, and again in mid-June to now, the correlation between the way the cryptoasset and the US’ key index trade has moved close to a score of 1, which represents a perfect correlation.
One analyst told Bitcoinist that the two now have a correlation of 0.95. Bitcoin has recovered broadly in line with the S&P 500 from the lows seen in March, but neither has been able to revisit previous highs seen earlier this year.
All data, figures & charts are valid as of 10/07/2020. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.
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